INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR: Will investors stick with hedge funds?

Armínio Fraga knows a thing or two about how to handle a lousy economy. The former emerging-markets portfolio manager at Soros Fund Management and founder, chairman and CIO of 7.4 billion-reais ($3.25 billion), Rio de Janeiro–based investment firm Gávea Investimentos once served as president of the Banco Central do Brasil. In 2002, during Fraga’s tenure at the central bank, left-wing union leader Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won election to the nation’s presidency, an event that rattled markets and sent the real plummeting more than 50 percent against the dollar.

Fraga reacted swiftly, pushing overnight rates up to 25 percent and convening leaders from opposite ends of the political spectrum to smooth out the economic transition. By the end of 2003, rates had tumbled to 16.5 percent.

For Fraga, 56, the experience was good practice for handling this year’s turbulent market conditions in Brazil. He happens to run one of the country’s best-performing hedge funds this year, Gávea Macro

This is the start of an article on alternative asset managers in Brazil. To see the full article, please go to Institutional Investor's website ( 

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I've been researching and writing on Brazilian financial markets, industry and economy since 2006 for a wide range of specialist media, consultancies and investors. Before that I spent over 10 years in London and New York writing for and editing magazines and journals dedicated to finance, investment and economics in developing markets, mostly for the Euromoney Institutional Investor group and Thomson Financial. Areas of coverage Below are samples of areas that I cover and some of the common themes that I investigate. Capital markets BM&FBovespa markets *capital raising trends: via equities (IPOs and secondary issuance), debt and loans *the asset management industry: legislation and coverage of the key hedge, pension and investment funds * corporate governance: how the regulator is seeking to strengthen best practice and limitations * debt markets: the nascent corporate markets, attempts to boost liquidity and new insturments. * private equity market: why this market has been so successful, who’s involved. *electronic, high frequency trading and alternative trading platforms: what does the future hold? Banking *credit: the growth of consumer and business credit and competition between banks and models *Public versus private: the role and market share of public and private sector banks and the politicization of the industry * internationalization: which Brazilian banks are expanding overseas and where * investment banking: the growth of the domestic market and who’s winning which mandates *regional banks and development banks: what role they play in the industry and how they compete Mining *licensing: the complex process of obtaining environmental, water, land and operating licenses at a state and federal level. * capacity: the feasibility and sustainability of capacity increases * financing: how miners are raising finance in Brazil and abroad *competition: the interplay Vale, MMX and junior miners *logistics: rail, road and port connections Oil and gas: the fund raising issues related to the massive of pre-salt (link) Multilatinas: Who are they and how and where they are expanding Meatpacking: Are debt burdens sustainable, what are the different business models for areas such as branding and distrbution Agriculture: How are farms consolidating, what are environmental risks, how can foreign investors be involved. IT and software: Can Brazil take on India and build a viable long-term IT industry? For more information on clients and work, please see the media and consultancy sections.
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